Angus Reid Strategies
Should all pollsters get their data out on the same day?
Here is the main set of cross-tabs with the regional and gender splits from this evening’s Politicalbetting/Angus Reid poll which is showing almost no change in the overall picture.
Download the full set for yourself here.
One of the things I was very keen on when we were setting up the arrangement with the pollster was that the full data-set should be made available as soon asSource: Political Betting RSS Feed
Politicalbetting.com - Thursday evening after the 2008 budget
Is instant polling reaction a guide to anything?
Every Friday after budgets, and now the PBR, the Times publishes the findings of a quickie small sample non-voting intention Populus poll and invariably this is good for the government.
But how seriously should we take it? Shouldn’t we look at the record.
I raised this one last March and I raise it again. The above is from the post publishedSource: Political Betting RSS Feed
RedState Morning Briefing
For December 2, 2009
Go to www.RedStateMB.com to get
the Morning Briefing every morning at no charge. 1. . . . — — — . . .
2. West Point is ‘The Enemy Camp’
3. Washington Post’s Left-Wing Activist Confused As To Why Dick Cheney Is Newsworthy
4. Amateur Hour at the White House: The State Dinner
5. From Gov. Mike Huckabee: Washington State Tragedy
6. WOW! Goldman Sachs Execs Arming ThemselvesSource: Red State RSS Feed
Recently Blue America sent out its first-ever letter to the whole donor list. The purpose was to ask everyone to vote on a short list of incumbents and help us pick one as the 2010 cycle's first endorsee. Predictably, the member who got the most votes was Alan Grayson (D-FL). Dozens of people wrote to us to tell us how much they admire Grayson for his hard-hittng and outspoken way of dealing with bad faith Republican obstructionists. Many also mentioned that he is the only incumbent onSource: DownWithTyranny! RSS Feed
Reporter's Note: President Obama will finally unveil his new strategy for the war in Afghanistan tonight, and military families in particular, coast to coast, will be watching. The subject of my daily letter to the White House.
Tom Foreman | BIO
AC360° Correspondent
Dear Mr. President,
One of my favorite movie scenes of all time comes from The Pope of Greenwich Village. Mobsters are about to appropriate a character’s thumb, and he asks an older manSource: AC360 RSS Feed
The Pedant-General in Ordinary is back, and explains the full meaning of climate-gate (with flow charts!) for us, and why the defenses being offered don't hold up. Curtsy to ninme, who shows us the main diagram of the Copenhagen process.
But neglected to highlight the slide the "settled" scientists really use.
The slides are funny, but RTWT, you'll learn something.
Michael Kahn's staging of The Alchemist is artistically perfect, or close to it. The sets, costumes and performances are wonderful, particularly in the second act when the various separate intrigues set up by the three con men (or "venture tripartite" as Jonson would have it) threaten to collide --and everyone's timing is "on."
If I have a criticism, it's of the playwright. Every time I have opportunity to see a Jonson play, I think to myself, "This will be wonderful. Jonson wasSource: Wheat Weeds RSS Feed
I’m back home at last. Being away was a nice respite, but I kept wondering what was going on in the world (with only a hard copy of the NY Times to tell me!) and I kept wondering what was going on with the blog. And I even managed the feat of passing the entire three days without getting caught up in any political discussions.
For Thanksgiving itself, there was a very large organic turkey and a very small wild turkey with the usual tasty accompaniments, and a few unusual ones asSource: neo-neocon RSS Feed
[UPDATE: It turns out that the Salahis had contact with President Obama. Oy vey.]
Dear Sirs:
I expect better of you. Seriously. Even if, as some have suggested, this is a put-up deal, it can’t help but reflect poorly on the reputation and performance of your fine Service, which has provided a century and a half of efficient professionalism and security to the nation.
Couple slips though security to crash White House state dinner
Let me be direct. MySource: Red State RSS Feed
I’m a bit late on this, having just read about a religiously-themed slogan appearing these days on T-shirts, web sites, and bumper stickers. The slogan? “Pray for Obama, Psalm 109:8.”
To those who don’t dig any deeper, the words and Bible citation may be anything from laudable to innocuous.
But people taking the time to look up the passage are registering differing views, ranging from laughter to outrage.
Psalm 109:8, not among the Bible’s mostSource: The Moderate Voice RSS Feed
ObamaCare's winners and losers
By BETSY MCCAUGHEY
November 24, 2009
New York Post
After the Senate voted Saturday night to proceed with debate on health reform, Majority Leader Harry Reid declared the public the winner. In truth, more Americans will be losers than winners.
Both Senate and House bills strip nearly half a trillion dollars from Medicare, robbing seniors to expand Medicaid. The Senate bill also spendsSource: Theodore's World RSS Feed
Today sees the public launch of ACT, the Liberal Democrats’ new social action network. This is the second launch in our three-part strategy,following on from the new-look libdems.org.uk.
ACT is a place where supporters can connect with one another, organise events and campaigns, share photos and videos and talk about politics.
Our aim is to reach a community of Liberal Democrats that extends beyond the formal boundary of party membership. So although ACT will be maintained asSource: Liberal Democrat Voice RSS Feed
The blog Carbon Fixated has a must-read post that provides some perspective on the scandal du jour:
If you own any shares in companies that produce reflecting telescopes, use differential and integral calculus, or rely on the laws of motion, I should start dumping them NOW. The conspiracy behind the calculus myth has been suddenly, brutally and quite deliciously exposed after volumes of Newton’s private correspondence were compiled and published.
When you read some of theseSource: Climate Progress RSS Feed
From their unabashed fans at the New York Times:
Sept. 11 Defendant Seeks a Trial, and a Platform
By SCOTT SHANE
November 21, 2009
The five men the Justice Department has said will be charged in the attacks of Sept. 11 intend to plead not guilty so they can express their political and religious views during a trial, the lawyer for one of the men said on Saturday.
The lawyer, Scott L. Fenstermaker, said that during a meeting at the Guantánamo Bay, Cuba,Source: Sweetness Light RSS Feed
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) unveiled the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act last night, a health care reform bill that combines elements from legislation that passed two Senate committees. According to Reid, the CBO says the bill will cost $848 billion over 10 years while reducing the deficit by $130 billion over a decade and extending coverage to 31 million uninsured Americans.
“In a ruling that could leave the government open to billions of dollars in claimsSource: Think Progress RSS Feed
We would like to beg you, our readers, to nominate ConWebBlog in the 2009 Weblog Awards. Since there isn't a media category per se and we're not quite poltical, we're going to aim for the Best Large Blog, defined as having a Technorati authority rating of between 301 and 500 (we're at 440).
ConWebWatch is listed in the comments as a nominee (which is where the shameless self-promotion comes in), so what you need to do is click on the "+" icon in that particular commentSource: ConWebBlog: The Weblog of ConWebWat RSS Feed
Yep! I bought it all right. Even though I swore I wouldn't!
Perhaps this was her evil plan all along, to fill the book with lies KNOWING that bloggers and media types would have to buy the book so that hey could refute the lies and set the record straight.
Could she be that smart?
Nah!
Anyhow just to get a flavor for the direction this book is sure to take, here is the first line from the very first page.
"I don't believe that God put us onSource: The Immoral Minority RSS Feed
She ain’t no Toto
She ain’t no Lassie
She ain’t no Rin Tin Tin
But she does have a high degree of self-importance. Combine that strong personality with a great sense of humor, a little arrogance, limitless energy, and an assertive nature and you have Tessa, a pup that’s very hard to train. When she’s outdoors she generally ignores the simple commands that she aces in the kitchen, Instructions like sit, stay, come, and down–mandatory in the house–are seemingly Source: Listics RSS Feed
The Defense calls Mr. Eric Holder to the stand. "Did you seek to bring legal action against the former administration for the treatment of these detainees?"
The Defense calls the President of the United States of America to the stand. "Did you refer to the treatment of these detainees as 'torture?'"
Your Honor, the defense moves to dismiss the charges.
This is a great article on math instruction.
If anyone is interested in how math and sciences have devolved in the government schools, look no further.
This is what happens when academics who have never taught in a given field try to set the standards for everyone else.
From City Journal.
The statistics on U.S. math performance are grim. American eighth-graders ranked 25th out of 30 countries in mathematics achievement on the 2006 Programme for InternationalSource: Right Mind RSS Feed
Do you know these guys?
Yup, actually, you do.
This is the list of the 20 ostensibly pro-choice Democrats who voted for the Stupak amendment. Over at 538, Nate did a nice chart. The Planned Parenthood rating relates to pro-choice, the NRTL ranking is anti-choice. All of these men voted Yes on Stupak, and you can see in the right column how they voted on the final bill. For the full analysis, click here.
Why would an ostensibly pro-choice Congressman vote for the Stupak Source: 2008 Democratic Convention Watch RSS Feed
A new survey by Pew Research Center for the People & the Press finds widespread anti-incumbent sentiment among the American electorate.
From the survey: The mood of America is glum. Two-thirds of the public is dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country. Fully nine-in-ten say that national economic conditions are only fair or poor, and nearly two-thirds describe their own finances that way -- the most since the summer of 1992.
An increasing proportion ofSource: THE CENTRIST RSS Feed
Are people reading too much into this?
I suppose we will see many more alerts like this but there’s a bit of a flurry tonight over this job ad from Chris Bryant - the Rhonda MP and Europe minister. Why does this job end on March 31s? Is this a clue to the election date?
A member of the Tory PR team twittered it and one or two people have sent me emails.
With all due respect to Chris Bryant he is the big flaw in the theory. For I cannot believe that he is privvy to theSource: Political Betting RSS Feed
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These tough guys sure do have a lot of fear about trusting the United States court system, don't they? During an interview with Andrea Mitchell today Sen. Christopher "Kit" Bond joined the long list of Republicans carping about the Obama administration moving the trial of 9/11 suspects to New York.
Bond: Well I think it’s an insult to the memory of those who were brutally murdered on Sept. 11th to have the leaders behind theseSource: Crooks and Liars RSS Feed
America’s Enemy Within the Gates
By J. D. Longstreet
*******************************
As I watched the aftermath of the shootings at Ft. Hood recently I, like so many other Americans, was aghast at the carnage wrought by America’s greatest enemy… “Political Correctness.” Say what you will but when the facts all come out, I am convinced the culprit will be none other than political correctness in our government, and in our military, in our religious community, in ourSource: Faultline USA RSS Feed
How many losses do we expect them to suffer?
At the General Election on May 5th 2005 Labour won 40 of the 59 seats north of the border on just 38.9% of the vote. No wonder that Blair “forgot” about his 1997 manifesto commitment on electoral reform.
Since the election they lost Dunfermline to the Lib Dems in 2006 and Glasgow East to Labour in 2008. This was partly balanced by the “gain” overnight of the Speaker’s seat.
So how are things going to look forSource: Political Betting RSS Feed
Prof busted in Columbia gal 'punch'
New York Post
A prominent Columbia architecture professor punched a female university employee in the face at a Harlem bar during a heated argument about race relations, cops said yesterday.
Police busted Lionel McIntyre, 59, for assault yesterday after his bruised victim, Camille Davis, filed charges.
McIntyre and Davis, who works as a production manager in the school's theater department, are both Source: Theodore's World RSS Feed
Listening to the radio yesterday, I heard a statistic noting that, of the world’s one billion Muslims, an estimated two hundred million of them subscribe to the radical Islamic strain. That’s no small number whether looked at in total, or as a percentage. The reason it’s problematic is what this large group believes in and what they’re willing to do to attain their goals.
In case you’ve forgotten, let’s revisit the words of radical Islam’s de-facto leader, Osama binSource: GraniteGrok RSS Feed
The Justice Department has subpoenaed indymedia.us for its visitor logs for a certain date. While this raises big flags regarding online privacy, something else happened with this action that is very odd. The recipient of the subpoena was told she could not talk about it unless authorized by the Justice Department – an essential gag order.
Of course news like this would send the right into a full frenzy that Obama is trying to silence the media, even a left-leaning site likeSource: Crooks and Liars RSS Feed
Call Of Duty Modern Warfare 2, the most anticipated computer game of the year, has received a Hollywood movie-style launch bringing part of London to a standstill.As fans queued for stores which were opening at midnight, trucks filled with actors dressed as military characters from the game passed by.There was also a VIP party at Vue Cinema in Leicester Square attended by movie and TV stars and hosted was by Vernon Kay (never mind).Modern Warfare 2 is expected to become the biggest-sellingSource: British Blogs RSS Feed
Acer has added a new notebook to its range with the launch of the Acer Aspire 8940, which is Acer’s new flagship notebook with a range of high end features. The Acer Aspire 8940 features a 1.6GHz Intel Core i7 720QM processor, an 18.4 inch Full HD widescreen display with a resolution of 1920 x 1080, 4GB of DDR3 RAM and an NVIDIA GeForce GTS 250m 1GB graphics cards. On top of that the Acer Aspire 8940 comes with a 4 x Blu-ray / DVD Super-Multi double layer drive, a multi card reader, 802.11Source: British Blogs RSS Feed
I am so very pleased to announce that another author will be joining me here at RedStateBlues. This is someone I've known literally all her life, and I know she has some important ideas to add politically and otherwise. It's my daughter, Jenn!
Jenn's politics were no doubt influenced by her dad and I, but she has her own unique take on things, and believe me we don't always agree. So this should be fun.
Look for posts from 20-something Jenn from time to time. She'll post when sheSource: RedStateBlues RSS Feed
From the always understanding New York Times:
A news photographer records footage of Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan’s apartment door in Killeen, Texas. Painful Stories Take a Toll on Military Therapists
By BENEDICT CAREY, DAMIEN CAVE and LIZETTE ALVAREZ
November 8, 2009
Many of the patients who fill the day are bereft, angry, broken. Their experiences are gruesome, their distress lasting and the process of recovery exhausting. The repeated stories of battle and loss Source: Sweetness Light RSS Feed
Election day 2009 a precursor to election day 2010 and a kick in the butt for BHO ! I must say...I LOVED IT!!!!!
YoU cAn'T mAkE tHiS sTuFf Up - BEDFORD, Pa. — In exchange for no jail time, a woman and her adult daughter have agreed to stand outside a Pennsylvania courthouse holding signs saying they stole a gift card from a 9-year-old girl on her birthday. Fifty-six-year-old Evelyn Border and 35-year-old Tina Griekspoor stood outside the court for 4½ hours Tuesday. They held signsSource: The Liberal Lie, The Conservative Truth RSS Feed
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From This Week with George Stephanopoulos, an interview with Gen. George Casey in which (of course) we use the "terrorism" label, but the general also worries that speculation about the Ft. Hood shootings will fan the fires of bigotry in the military:
STEPHANOPOULOS: You say you can't talk too much about the investigation, but we are learning a fair amount about Major Hasan in the last couple of days. And it appears that there wereSource: Crooks and Liars RSS Feed
Yesterday, Katherine Reutter won the gold in the 1500m short track race at the World Cup in Montreal with a time of 2:23. Katherine is a native of Champaign, and is on target for the Winter Olympics in Vancouver next Feb.
Stephen Colbert has graciously lent his name to the US Speed Skating team and Katherine also has sponsorship by local businesses. Colbert is asking his fans at Colbert Nation to donate here.
Katherine is a Benny family friend. Benny's World is very proud ofSource: Benny's World RSS Feed
U.S. Army soldiers watch the surrounding hills for insurgents while fellow soldiers race to their position, dodging heavy sniper fire during a three-hour gun battle in Kunar province, Afghanistan, Nov. 3, 2009. The 4th Infantry Division soldiers have been battling insurgent forces in the Waterpur valley since arriving in Afghanistan last June. U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Matthew Moeller
Max, a 21-pound gray tabby cat, is on official Army orders to the Luke Air Force Base Veterinary Clinic in Glendale, Ariz. Not only does he increase the morale of the staff and visitors to the clinic, he also officially provides "Fat Cat Security and Pest Control" as stated in his orders
Clinic cat on orders to Luke Air Force Base
56th Fighter Wing Public Affairs
LUKE AIR FORCE BASE, Ariz. (AFNS)
During the past tenSource: Theodore's World RSS Feed
No, not about most things. And CERTAINLY NOT about standing up and yelling at President Obama. But yesterday, he said:
“If [U.S. House] Speaker [Nancy] Pelosi insists on shoving this bill through, then I believe that Members of Congress should go onto the government-run option,” Wilson said. “If it is good enough for the American people, then it is certainly good enough for Congress.”
This may well be the single thing he's ever said with which I wholeheartedly agree.Source: 2008 Democratic Convention Watch RSS Feed
The map to the left, which I got from The Washington Post, pretty much says it all: yesterday was a bloodbath. While the map only shows the gubernatorial race, the other two statewide races maps don’t look much different. The added loss of a net of six House of Delegates seats is a bitter pill.
A successful campaign requires time, money and people. Tuesday, the Republicans had all three, while the Democrats didn’t.
Time
When I think of the element ofSource: Vivian J. Paige RSS Feed
Michelle Obama has been teaching young kids about farming in the inner city since springtime, and she often shares tricks with students that good old Barry picked up from his young, wild Hawaiian and ACORN days.
Here she's explaining how they saved money back in the old days by growin' their own weed, just like they do now in the backyard of the white house where their personally grown "medicinal" (wink wink) stash resides during growing months in DC getting better harvest there thanSource: Chicagoray RSS Feed
This came into my inbox. (I linked it via the photo.)
--Joanne Trikas, who ran the polling site at PS 79, wrote of the Kim poll watchers that, “Many of our inspectors and myself at times felt they could be electioneering to voters. These people were ‘constantly’ inquiring with the inspectors who told me that they were very aggressive in gathering information.”
-- Elyse Bulla, the coordinator at PS 130, wrote that the Kim poll watchers, “Did not want to follow orders orSource: Queens Crap RSS Feed
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Joe Lieberman claims that he 'wish[es] people would come out and debate me on the public option instead of questioning my motives' when asked about the money he's receiving from the insurance industry. That's news to Rachel Maddow Joe. If you're looking for someone to debate you about your motives, I hear she's still looking for a response from your office.
SCHIEFFER: I’m going to ask you this question because I want to give you aSource: Crooks and Liars RSS Feed
As noted in an editorial today in the Jerusalem Post, the month of Tishrei 5770, or October 2009 on the secular calendar, marked the end of 2500 years of Jewish life in Yemen. Last month the United States State Department completed a clandestine operation to transfer the last 60 Yemenite Jews to the U.S. So ended a process that began with "Operation Flying Carpet" in 1949-1950, in which most of the Jewish population of Yemen, some 49,000 of my holy brothers and sisters, were flown toSource: The Hedgehog Blog RSS Feed
Now part of that tragedy has been turned to good use with the introduction of the remnant steel from the attack, which has come full circle by being recycled back into the fabric of our military that keeps us and this mostly great country free in the form of this Navy Assault ship called USS New York, which in the picture there sails through the Mississippi River Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2009, leaving on it's journey from New Orleans to New York which was completed yesteday.
HopefullySource: Chicagoray RSS Feed
A koan is a short, often paradoxical idea, meant to tell the truth, or cause the ego to give up, or cause enlightenment, or all three.
Old well known koans:
What is the sound of one hand clapping?
What is the sound of a tree falling in the forest, if there is no one there to hear it?
I try my hand at koans. I’m no good at it, but I try.
Why it is so easy for ‘the base’ of any side to fall so easily into a Pavlovian rage by telling them half-truths Source: The Moderate Voice RSS Feed
At this point, I am starting to believe Gore would have been better than Bush in fighting the War on Terrorism. Why? The dude is so stone cold wackadoodle that he probably would have just dropped some nukes on Afghanistan, Iraq, Lybia, Syria, and Iran, among others. Besides, the nukes would certainly have mitigated the supposed global warming through nuclear winter. Witness the latest incarnation of insanity
Al Gore was beating the climate change drum again on Tuesday, this time inSource: Stop the ACLU RSS Feed
Following is their release.
Ten days until the training, and seats are limited! Register now for our intense and comprehensive campaign training for women candidates, potential candidates, elected officials, campaign staff, volunteers and activists.
Click here for more information and to sign up.
You can also email training@democraticwomenspac.org with any questions.
The curriculum addresses four primary themes: Fundraising, Message, Planning & Strategy, and NewSource: Maryland Politics Watch RSS Feed
Considering that France has been acting tougher on Iran than we have been, it’s not a big surprise that Iran hasn’t been taking Obama too seriously. Obama’s plan thus far has been to whine to Ahmadinejad and to ask him to stop (pretty please with a cherry on top??). So while Obama seems set on negotiating over and over again, Iran continues to get bolder and more insulting.
They didn’t flat-out refuse Obama’s deal, but they might as well have. Could it be because AhmadinejadSource: Stop the ACLU RSS Feed
I have been reading Hot Air for a long time by now. Especially after Ed Morrissey joined the Malkin-crew, the site became one of, if not the first, my favorite conservative websites.
As such, it has greatly surprised me – in a good way – that Hot Air has become even better in recent months. How? By creating its GreenRoom page, where a carefully selected group of bloggers are allowed to publish posts. One of them is a blogger who goes by the name of Doctor Zero.
Doctor Zero Source: PoliGazette RSS Feed
